Novese vs Asti FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
0 - 0
NOV
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 1
LAV
24%
27%
49%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +4 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
VAD
1 - 0
NOV
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
ACQ
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CUN
3 - 0
NOV
68%
21%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Asti FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
RAB
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VAO
2 - 3
AST
46%
25%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
AST
0 - 0
ASD
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VOG
0 - 0
AST
47%
25%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AST
0 - 2
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |