Novara vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
CES
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
NOV
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
PAL
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TER
5 - 1
CTT
24%
26%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
TER
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TER
0 - 0
FRO
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 1
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
TER
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |