Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
USA
1 - 3
NOV
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
PER
76%
16%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
5%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ACM
2 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAG
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 0
PRO
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PRO
3 - 4
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
2 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
PER
1 - 1
PRO
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |