Novara vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CTT
3 - 1
NOV
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 0
NOV
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 1
GEL
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
JUV
5 - 0
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
51 | 91 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
ACM
4 - 2
NOV
81%
15%
4%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ASL
3 - 3
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
ACD
1 - 1
ASL
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
EMP
4 - 0
ASL
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
5 - 0
ASL
89%
9%
2%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 0
LIG
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |