Novara vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
4 - 0
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
VNZ
48%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
JUV
0 - 0
NAP
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
GEN
2 - 0
JUV
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
BOL
1 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
JUV
3 - 2
LAZ
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 3
FIO
69%
17%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |