Novara vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASS
2 - 0
NOV
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
JS2
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
4 - 0
NOV
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 91 | 39 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 2
ARC
82%
14%
5%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 0
LEO
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 1
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ABN
1 - 2
LEC
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 2
GER
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 1
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |