Nova Mutum vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+192%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 2
NME
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NME
3 - 0
LUV
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CUI
1 - 0
NME
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
MIX
3 - 0
AAC
67%
18%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MIX
2 - 3
CUI
11%
21%
69%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
URO
2 - 0
MIX
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
OPE
4 - 0
MIX
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MIX
0 - 0
OPE
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |