Nova Iguaçu vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
NOV
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
NOV
27%
28%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
POR
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
OES
1 - 1
NOV
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAO
28%
31%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIA
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
OES
33%
30%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAR
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |