Nova Iguaçu vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 2
NOV
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 4
NOV
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
GOY
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
3 - 1
TIG
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAM
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
ANG
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DUQ
2 - 2
BAR
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
OLA
4 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |