Nova Andradina vs Ponta Porã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Andradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
COR
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
COS
2 - 0
NOV
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
ASS
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
59%
20%
20%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FRA
4 - 1
NOV
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Ponta Porã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
PON
0 - 2
COS
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OPE
4 - 1
PON
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 0
PON
83%
11%
5%
|
7 | 52 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
PON
0 - 2
AGU
12%
20%
69%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 2
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | +1 |