Notts County vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
NOT
50%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NOT
5 - 2
NOR
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 1
BUR
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOT
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NOT
3 - 0
DAG
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
SCU
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
BCF
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 1
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
GRI
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |