Notts County vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
MAI
0 - 1
NOT
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 0
ALT
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 0
DOV
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 1
NOT
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DOV
0 - 3
NOT
7%
17%
76%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
EAS
4 - 4
GRI
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
GRI
1 - 0
BOR
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GRI
1 - 3
MAI
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
GRI
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GRI
2 - 1
GUL
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |