Notts County vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 2
WRE
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GIL
1 - 2
NOT
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 4
MAN
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 2
DER
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CRA
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CRA
2 - 4
CRE
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
CRA
24%
23%
54%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
WRE
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |