Notts County vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
KIN
0 - 1
NOT
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
NOT
3 - 1
DAG
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 2
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
WEY
0 - 1
NOT
21%
25%
55%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 0
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
DAG
2 - 2
CHE
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
BOR
0 - 0
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
WRE
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 1
CHE
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
SOL
2 - 1
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |