Notts County vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MKD
3 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 0
ROC
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STE
0 - 2
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 1
NOT
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 1
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
4 - 1
CUM
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
BCF
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 3
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |