Nottingham Forest vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
NTT
0 - 0
QPR
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MID
0 - 1
NTT
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
NTT
3 - 0
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NTT
1 - 0
QPR
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 1
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 0
WAT
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
WAT
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
MAC
12%
20%
68%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |