Premier League round 15

Nottingham Forest vs Preston North End analysis

Nottingham Forest Preston North End
78 ELO 86
-4.3% Tilt -5.8%
132º General ELO ranking 758º
19º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Nottingham Forest
23.4%
Draw
40.8%
Preston North End

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40.8%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nottingham Forest
+11%
+7%
Preston North End

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest
Preston North End
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 1958
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
NTT
64%
19%
18%
78 79 1 0
11 Oct. 1958
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
50%
23%
27%
77 80 3 +1
04 Oct. 1958
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
Blackpool
BPO
42%
24%
34%
76 84 8 +1
27 Sep. 1958
CHL
Chelsea
4 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
69%
17%
15%
77 81 4 -1
20 Sep. 1958
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
61%
20%
19%
77 81 4 0

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 1958
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 4
Newcastle
NEW
70%
17%
14%
86 79 7 0
11 Oct. 1958
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
4 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
33%
23%
43%
87 76 11 -1
08 Oct. 1958
MUD
Manchester United
0 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
50%
22%
28%
86 85 1 +1
04 Oct. 1958
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
71%
16%
12%
87 81 6 -1
27 Sep. 1958
LUT
Luton Town
4 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
35%
24%
41%
87 80 7 0