League One Round 21

Nottingham Forest vs Port Vale analysis

Nottingham Forest Port Vale
70 ELO 56
1% Tilt -11.5%
85º General ELO ranking 2472º
16º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
70.4%
Nottingham Forest
19.1%
Draw
10.5%
Port Vale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
Port Vale
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nottingham Forest
-2%
-4%
Port Vale

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest
Port Vale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2007
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 2
Northampton
NOR
66%
21%
13%
70 60 10 0
11 Dec. 2007
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
49%
24%
27%
71 65 6 -1
07 Dec. 2007
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
42%
28%
30%
70 65 5 +1
04 Dec. 2007
WAL
Walsall
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
36%
29%
35%
71 63 8 -1
27 Nov. 2007
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
73%
17%
9%
71 51 20 0

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2007
POR
Port Vale
0 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
38%
28%
34%
57 63 6 0
11 Dec. 2007
CHA
Chasetown
1 - 0
Port Vale
POR
29%
25%
46%
57 47 10 0
08 Dec. 2007
GIL
Gillingham
1 - 2
Port Vale
POR
55%
24%
21%
57 60 3 0
04 Dec. 2007
LEE
Leeds United
3 - 0
Port Vale
POR
69%
20%
11%
57 71 14 0
02 Dec. 2007
POR
Port Vale
1 - 1
Chasetown
CHA
64%
20%
16%
57 47 10 0