Nottingham Forest vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
NTT
1 - 0
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
PNE
0 - 1
NTT
55%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
STO
1 - 1
NTT
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
NTT
0 - 0
BIR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 1
NTT
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 1
MIL
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BOR
0 - 2
MIL
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
COV
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 1
NTT
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 2
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |