Nottingham Forest vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WOL
5 - 1
NTT
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
NTT
1 - 2
SUN
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NTT
3 - 2
WAT
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SWA
3 - 1
NTT
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
NTT
4 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 0
PLY
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 0
OLD
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CRY
0 - 0
BUR
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 3
IPS
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
BCF
0 - 2
BUR
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |