Notodden vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NES
1 - 0
NOT
67%
18%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 0
HOD
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
NOT
1 - 4
STB
12%
16%
72%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FAN
3 - 1
NOT
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
FKA
1 - 2
NOT
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
VAR
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NES
0 - 0
NAR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
EGE
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
HOD
2 - 0
NAR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
HON
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |