noscript image

Championship. Matchday 10

Norwich City Millwall
61 ELO 55
-22% Tilt 27%
204º General ELO ranking 648º
18º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Norwich City
26.6%
Draw
35.9%
Millwall

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Norwich City
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.9%
Win probability
Millwall
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Basic stats

61
39
POS
27
6
SOT
8
2
COR
61
55
ELO
1.3
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Norwich City
Their league position
Millwall
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
97
16º
62
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Norwich City
97
97
100%
Watford
91
91
100%
Brentford
87
87
100%
Swansea City
80
80
100%
Barnsley
78
78
100%
AFC Bournemouth
77
77
100%
Reading
70
70
100%
Cardiff City
68
68
50%
Queens Park Rangers
68
68
50%
Middlesbrough
10º
64
64
10º
100%
Millwall
11º
62
62
11º
50%
Luton Town
12º
62
62
12º
50%
Preston North End
13º
61
61
13º
100%
Stoke City
14º
60
60
14º
100%
Blackburn Rovers
15º
57
57
15º
100%
Coventry City
16º
55
55
16º
100%
Nottingham Forest
17º
52
52
17º
50%
Birmingham City
18º
52
52
18º
50%
Bristol City
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Huddersfield Town
20º
49
49
20º
100%
Derby County
21º
44
44
21º
100%
Wycombe Wanderers
22º
43
43
22º
100%
Rotherham United
23º
42
42
23º
100%
Sheffield Wednesday
24º
41
41
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Norwich City
Millwall
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Millwall
MIL
Norwich City
NOR
Swansea City
SWA
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
Middlesbrough
MID
Cardiff City
CAR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Norwich City
Norwich City
1%
X%
2%
ELO NOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 3
Norwich City
NOR
36%
27%
37%
1905 1365 -540 +7
27 Oct. 2020
THE
Brentford
1 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
38%
28%
34%
1906 1455 -451 -2
24 Oct. 2020
NOR
Norwich City
2 - 1
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
81%
13%
6%
1905 451 1454 +1
20 Oct. 2020
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
66%
20%
15%
1903 1092 811 +3
17 Oct. 2020
ROT
Rotherham United
1 - 2
Norwich City
NOR
22%
24%
54%
1900 756 -1144 +2

Matches

Millwall
Millwall
1%
X%
2%
ELO MIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
MIL
Millwall
0 - 3
Huddersfield Town
HUR
47%
27%
26%
1244 1279 -35 -11
28 Oct. 2020
THE
Preston North End
0 - 2
Millwall
MIL
53%
26%
22%
1232 1465 233 +12
24 Oct. 2020
MIL
Millwall
1 - 1
Barnsley
BAR
55%
24%
21%
1234 899 335 -2
20 Oct. 2020
MIL
Millwall
2 - 0
Luton Town
LUT
53%
25%
22%
1226 1094 132 +8
17 Oct. 2020
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 2
Millwall
MIL
30%
25%
46%
1223 457 -766 +3