Norwich City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOR
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 0
BRI
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 0
COV
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
MID
0 - 3
ROT
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
BBU
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NTT
1 - 2
MID
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
BIR
60%
25%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 1
MID
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |