EFL Cup . 1/64
Global 3-2
Norwich City vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1999 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
OXF
2 - 4
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
NOR
2 - 2
BOL
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
NOR
2 - 2
TRA
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 2
ROC
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
CHE
0 - 1
LIN
59%
20%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1998 |
REA
2 - 1
CHE
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
CHE
1 - 1
REA
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1997 |
BOR
0 - 2
CHE
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |