Norway U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
CYP
1 - 3
NOR
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 2
SVK
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
NOR
10%
18%
72%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 5
ENG
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
LIE
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 5 | 63 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
HRV
0 - 2
CYP
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
HRV
1 - 1
MNE
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
HRV
2 - 1
MKD
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
HRV
1 - 1
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
HRV
4 - 0
ALB
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |