FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 0-1
Northwich Victoria vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CUR
0 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 5
NOR
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
OSS
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
KEN
1 - 2
NOR
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
PRE
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CUR
0 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 2
CUR
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 0
CUR
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 1
WIT
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 1
TRA
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |