Northern AFC vs Birkenhead United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
84.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NAF
3 - 3
GIA
4%
11%
85%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
OTU
6 - 1
NAF
92%
6%
2%
|
5 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ROW
4 - 0
NAF
93%
5%
2%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NAF
2 - 3
QUE
4%
10%
86%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
NAF
0 - 5
CAV
4%
9%
88%
|
5 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BAO
2 - 0
BIR
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
BIR
2 - 2
MUF
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
HWA
2 - 1
BIR
8%
16%
75%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 1
AFC
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
ESU
2 - 3
BIR
12%
19%
70%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |