Northampton vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 3
STF
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 3
BUR
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
CRE
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 1
WYC
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
STO
1 - 4
MAC
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |