Northampton vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
WAL
3 - 2
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 1
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 1
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
DER
4 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOR
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
OPA
3 - 2
EXE
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 3
EXE
17%
26%
58%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
EXE
5 - 1
OLD
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
EXE
2 - 1
STE
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 1
EXE
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |