Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 3
ROC
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
NOR
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
COV
1 - 2
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 0
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 0
AFC
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
GIL
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 3
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DON
1 - 2
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |