Northbridge Bulls vs Blacktown City Demons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northbridge Bulls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 5
NSM
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NSM
2 - 2
MDT
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 1
API
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SYD
2 - 1
NSM
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NSM
3 - 4
MAN
31%
21%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
API
0 - 1
BLA
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 2
BLA
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 4
BLA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BLA
3 - 0
SYD
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 5
BLA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |