North Leigh vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Leigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
BRI
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 2
NOR
55%
21%
23%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
NOR
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SHO
5 - 0
NOR
61%
19%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
CLE
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
HUN
3 - 1
MER
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
MER
2 - 2
SWI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
YAT
0 - 3
MER
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
ABI
0 - 0
MER
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MER
4 - 0
BRI
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |