North Ferriby United vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TAM
2 - 2
NOR
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
4 - 3
OXF
67%
18%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
NOR
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
4 - 4
GUI
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PLY
2 - 0
FYL
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BOS
3 - 1
FYL
29%
24%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
KIN
3 - 4
FYL
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FYL
2 - 1
GAI
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FYL
1 - 0
BUX
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |