Noia vs Dubra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LEM
2 - 2
NOI
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
NOI
3 - 0
SDC
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDL
2 - 1
NOI
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NOI
1 - 2
CDC
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NOI
6 - 0
EUM
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dubra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DUB
2 - 2
VIC
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 1
DUB
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 2
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 0
ATM
39%
24%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 0
DUB
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |