Nocerina vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ACI
2 - 2
NOC
19%
23%
57%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PPI
0 - 1
NOC
7%
14%
79%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 0
ACP
84%
12%
5%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CCI
0 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ISO
0 - 1
CCI
13%
17%
69%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CCI
3 - 2
PPI
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
EBO
2 - 2
CCI
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CCI
2 - 1
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |