1. HNL . Jor. 11

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka analysis

NK Varazdin HNK Rijeka
71 ELO 75
22.4% Tilt 7.7%
866º General ELO ranking 204º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.9%
NK Varazdin
24.5%
Draw
29.7%
HNK Rijeka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
NK Varazdin
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.6%
Win probability
HNK Rijeka
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Varazdin
-9%
+9%
HNK Rijeka

ELO progression

NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2008
ZAD
Zadar
1 - 0
NK Varazdin
NKV
36%
26%
39%
72 61 11 0
28 Sep. 2008
NKV
NK Varazdin
3 - 0
HNK Cibalia
HNK
61%
22%
18%
71 67 4 +1
24 Sep. 2008
NMC
NK Mladost Cernik
0 - 1
NK Varazdin
NKV
10%
17%
73%
71 33 38 0
21 Sep. 2008
NKC
NK Croatia Sesvete
4 - 0
NK Varazdin
NKV
42%
25%
33%
72 64 8 -1
14 Sep. 2008
NKV
NK Varazdin
1 - 0
Inter Zapresic
INT
66%
19%
14%
72 64 8 0

Matches

HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2008
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
0 - 1
HNK Sibenik
HNS
63%
21%
16%
76 66 10 0
28 Sep. 2008
ZAD
Zadar
0 - 3
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
33%
26%
41%
75 61 14 +1
24 Sep. 2008
MOS
Metalac Osijek
0 - 6
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
26%
25%
49%
75 62 13 0
21 Sep. 2008
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
0 - 0
NK Osijek
OSI
54%
24%
22%
75 72 3 0
14 Sep. 2008
HNK
HNK Cibalia
3 - 1
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
32%
28%
40%
76 65 11 -1
X