NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
8º
6º
50
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PRB
1 - 4
NKV
7%
15%
78%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
NKV
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
1 - 0
NKV
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
0 - 2
OSI
4%
12%
84%
|
83 | 21 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 0
IST
67%
22%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 4
OSI
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
4 - 1
LOK
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
OSI
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |