NK Polet vs Podravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
22
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Polet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKP
1 - 1
NKK
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
POD
0 - 5
NKP
7%
14%
79%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKP
0 - 0
NDD
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NKP
1 - 7
OSI
8%
16%
77%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MEI
0 - 4
NKP
31%
24%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Podravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
POD
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NDD
3 - 2
POD
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POD
1 - 1
NKS
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
POD
0 - 4
MZL
12%
21%
67%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NKP
5 - 1
POD
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |