Nafta Lendava vs Bistrica iz Slovenske analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
1º
44
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
75.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
45.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
41% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
50% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
NKN
2 - 0
ILI
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KRK
1 - 2
NKN
34%
24%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
POL
1 - 4
NKN
8%
14%
78%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 1
NKN
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NKN
1 - 0
DEK
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bistrica iz Slovenske
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
BIS
5 - 1
RUD
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NKS
1 - 0
BIS
6%
11%
84%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
4 - 3
BIL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DEK
1 - 4
BIS
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
BIS
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |