NK Jarun vs NK Kustošija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
12º
5º
35
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZMI
2 - 1
NKJ
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 0
NKD
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
NKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NKJ
3 - 2
BIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 1
SOL
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
KUS
1 - 0
DUB
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
KUS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
KUS
0 - 0
VUK
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 0
KUS
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
KUS
2 - 0
HDR
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |