Roltek Dob vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
16º
16º
64
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roltek Dob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ROG
3 - 0
NKD
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NKD
2 - 1
KRK
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NKD
1 - 4
ILI
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
NKD
3 - 0
NKI
14%
17%
69%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NKP
1 - 1
NKD
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 1
DEK
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 2
ALU
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FUZ
0 - 1
ALU
26%
24%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ALU
3 - 1
BIS
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
NKG
0 - 6
ALU
4%
10%
86%
|
60 | 14 | 46 | 0 |