National Round 20

Nîmes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis

Nîmes Fréjus St-Raphaël
68 ELO 62
9.8% Tilt -9.6%
1976º General ELO ranking 3314º
62º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
59.6%
Nîmes
22.3%
Draw
18.1%
Fréjus St-Raphaël

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
Nîmes
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
Fréjus St-Raphaël
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nîmes
-23%
-9%
Fréjus St-Raphaël

ELO progression

Nîmes
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nîmes
Nîmes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2011
LPS
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
0 - 3
Nîmes
NÎM
31%
29%
40%
66 59 7 0
16 Dec. 2011
NÎM
Nîmes
3 - 3
Creteil
LUS
63%
22%
16%
66 61 5 0
09 Dec. 2011
NÎM
Nîmes
1 - 1
Beauvais Oise
ASB
59%
23%
19%
66 63 3 0
03 Dec. 2011
LUZ
Luzenac
0 - 3
Nîmes
NÎM
34%
28%
38%
66 58 8 0
25 Nov. 2011
NÎM
Nîmes
2 - 0
Colmar
COL
63%
21%
15%
65 59 6 +1

Matches

Fréjus St-Raphaël
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2012
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
0 - 3
Ajaccio
AJA
33%
26%
42%
64 71 7 0
21 Dec. 2011
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
2 - 0
FC Rouen 1899
FCR
41%
27%
33%
63 65 2 +1
16 Dec. 2011
BRC
Besancon RC
3 - 2
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
30%
28%
43%
64 56 8 -1
03 Dec. 2011
VAN
Vannes
3 - 1
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
54%
24%
22%
64 67 3 0
25 Nov. 2011
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
2 - 5
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
LPS
60%
24%
17%
66 59 7 -2