Niger vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
NER
2 - 1
BWA
57%
22%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
CIV
1 - 0
NER
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1993 |
GHA
4 - 0
NER
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
BWA
0 - 1
NER
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
NER
0 - 1
GHA
20%
25%
56%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
BEN
1 - 0
ETH
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
MAR
5 - 0
BEN
86%
11%
3%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
BEN
0 - 5
TUN
20%
27%
53%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
ETH
3 - 1
BEN
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
BEN
0 - 1
MAR
13%
21%
66%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |