Nico United vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
NIC
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOW
4 - 0
NIC
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
NIC
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
NOT
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
MIS
0 - 1
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MOT
0 - 1
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
WON
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TAF
0 - 3
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |