Nice vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1974 |
LEN
4 - 2
NIC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
NIC
4 - 2
PSG
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
BAS
2 - 0
NIC
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1974 |
NIC
1 - 3
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1974 |
LYO
0 - 0
NIC
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
TRO
4 - 1
MET
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
ANG
1 - 1
TRO
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
TRO
2 - 0
STR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1974 |
SOC
0 - 1
TRO
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1974 |
TRO
0 - 1
LIL
59%
22%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |