Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
NAN
0 - 0
NIC
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SOC
1 - 0
NIC
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
NIC
1 - 0
TRO
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
GUI
0 - 0
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
LEN
3 - 1
DEP
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
LEN
1 - 1
AJA
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
MPL
0 - 2
LEN
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
DEP
3 - 1
LEN
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
LEN
0 - 0
LIL
60%
24%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |