Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
MAR
0 - 1
NIC
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 0
TRO
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
MET
2 - 2
NIC
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 2
NAN
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIC
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NÎM
3 - 1
BAS
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 2
REI
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
LYO
1 - 1
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 1
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |