Nice II vs Colomiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 2
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
LEP
55%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
NIC
41%
27%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
VIL
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
HYE
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ROD
2 - 0
COL
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
COL
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
STR
2 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |