Nicaragua vs Belize analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TCA
0 - 7
NIC
15%
18%
68%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HND
1 - 1
NIC
83%
13%
5%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 0
GTM
10%
18%
72%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 0
PAN
9%
19%
73%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Belize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
BLZ
5 - 0
TCA
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
HTI
2 - 0
BLZ
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
GRD
3 - 2
BLZ
48%
22%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BLZ
2 - 0
GUF
17%
19%
65%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
KNA
0 - 1
BLZ
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |