Neza vs Industriales Naucalpan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FUR
1 - 0
NEZ
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NEZ
2 - 1
HAQ
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 3
NEZ
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NEZ
1 - 4
DRT
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
IDN
3 - 1
NEZ
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Industriales Naucalpan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
IDN
0 - 1
CHA
23%
27%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IDN
0 - 3
JAJ
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FUR
4 - 0
IDN
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
IDN
3 - 0
HAQ
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
DAV
2 - 0
IDN
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |